
Why Euro NCAP Is Shifting the Rules of ADAS Testing
– Expert Insights from Wesley Hulshof
Our Principal ADAS Engineer, Wesley Hulshof, participated in the Euro NCAP 2026–2029 Roadmap Update briefing to ensure VBOX Automotive continues to deliver total testing solutions aligned with the future of automotive testing.
Euro NCAP 2026-2029 shows a significant shift from isolated ADAS performance towards full system-level validation. Greater emphasis is now placed on driver monitoring, system intervention strategies, and how drivers interact with automation. The use of real-world accident data and validated virtual testing has also been introduced.
Read on for Wesley’s key takeaways from the briefing and how these changes could affect your testing and development.

Wesley Hulshof
The Evolution of Vehicle Safety: From Mandates to Human-Centric Design
Since 1996, advancements in vehicle safety driven by Euro NCAP rating assessments have prevented an estimated 135,000 fatalities.
With over 1,000 vehicles assessed and a reach covering 20% of the global market, Euro NCAP has evolved from a consumer information initiative into a fundamental driver of automotive safety innovation.
The Challenge of Driver Acceptance
While Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) are demonstrably effective at mitigating collisions, their transition to mandatory fitment has surfaced a longstanding critical challenge: driver acceptance. A recurring observation within the industry is the high rate of manual deactivation. If a system is perceived as intrusive or prone to "nuisance alerts" (false positives), users frequently disable it.
This is particularly evident with Lane Keep Assist (LKA). Drivers often experience frustration when the system intervenes during intentional manoeuvres, such as "hugging" the line for better visibility, cutting a corner on a clear curve, or overtaking without a signal. When deactivated by the user, the functional benefit drops to zero. Therefore, it is imperative that future ADAS are not only robust but "intelligent" enough to stay active without causing driver irritation.
The 2029 Roadmap: Context-Aware Safety
To address the issue of driver acceptance, Euro NCAP will place greater emphasis on Driver Monitoring Systems (DMS) to refine system interventions.
By analysing driver gaze, head position, and engagement levels, the vehicle can differentiate between an unintentional lane departure and an intentional manoeuvre. That is to say that if the driver is focused and engaged, the system can suppress Forward Collision Warnings (FCW) or moderate LKA torque, recognising a conscious choice.
Conversely, if the DMS detects distraction or fatigue, the system maintains full intervention authority or even increases the activation distance or TTC (Time-To-Collision).

Balancing Acceptance and Over-reliance
As these systems become more seamless, a secondary challenge arises: the balance between driver acceptance and automation complacency. As the reliability and smoothness of assistance increases, leaning more towards Assisted Driving, there is a risk that drivers will over-trust an AD system, transitioning from an active operator to a passive passenger.
If system behaviour and handover of control is poorly communicated or misunderstood, the overall safety risk can paradoxically increase. As I have explored previously in my paper 'Man Vs Machine', the "disengagement trap" remains a primary concern; when a driver incorrectly assumes, or more importantly is incorrectly informed, that a system is "self-driving" rather than "assisted", the resulting lack of situational awareness can lead to critical failures in edge-case scenarios.
Looking ahead to 2029
Euro NCAP will tightly link ADAS scoring to Driver Monitoring System (DMS) performance and driver acceptance. Assistance systems will no longer be assessed purely on intervention quality, but on how effectively they operate within a closed loop of occupant monitoring, system behaviour, and intervention. Therefore, adaptive assistance (for example, later or less aggressive intervention) is only acceptable if driver monitoring can be established with high confidence through eye and head tracking.

Young Drivers
The WHO (World Health Organisation) consistently reports that road traffic injuries are the leading cause of death for children and young adults aged 5–29 years globally. A shocking statistic universally undisputed except for in the U.S. where this number 1 spot has recently traded places with firearms (homicide and suicide); but on a global scale, the car remains the biggest threat to young life.
For a Newly Qualified Driver (NQD) the car is statistically one of the most dangerous places you can be - with 1 in 5 drivers being involved in a crash in their first 12 months. So, why do we put our most vulnerable, inexperienced drivers in the least safe cars? Affordability makes it almost impossible to do otherwise given that the highest insurance premiums are aimed at this demographic, and the safest vehicles are often the more luxurious.
Euro NCAP has campaigned for a long time for ‘safety for everyone’, ensuring that only cars with standard fit safety systems are rewarded; and although innovations in ADAS technologies advanced by Euro NCAP could intervene appropriately in such fatal collisions, the high insurances on new vehicles means that NQD are often priced out of these “luxuries”.
Youth Key
Youth Key is a technology hoping to reduce this burden to NQD. It is a separate vehicle key that can be programmed for a new driver. It can limit the vehicle performance, enforce seatbelt use and remove some of the more socially unacceptable areas such as restricting the maximum volume of the stereo to 50%.
The hope of instigating such a technology is that insurance premiums will fall dramatically for NQD, this could mean that one day insurance premiums on a £85k Volvo XC90 (a vehicle that nobody has had a fatal accident in since 2004) could be comparable to a 2002 Ford Fiesta.
Euro NCAP has identified these systems as an area for future research, with the aim of assessing real-world safety benefit using accident data. This is not yet written into the protocols as research is expected from 2026; with any possible conclusion considered closer to 2029, depending on the demonstrated safety benefit from standardising such a technology.
Data for Road Safety
Euro NCAP has always used real-world accidentology data to develop their assessments and ensure that the test scenarios remain representative of on-road behaviour.
More recently, through collaboration with the Data for Road Safety initiative, anonymised vehicle data is analysed to understand when and how ADAS systems activate in real-world scenarios. This data is not used for direct scoring but could be used to inform future protocol development and, if required, modify existing protocols.
Unlike ‘on-the-spot’ accidentology which relies on investigating an accident after it has occurred and as such, the ADAS system to have failed to avoid the incident, the DFRS uses ‘triggers’ from the OEM’s and infrastructure on ADAS activation, ABS activation, weather conditions etc. to inform even when the accident was avoided. This will allow for many magnitudes more examples than previous accidentology data in addition to not skewing the data only to where the ADAS system failed to avoid the incident.
Virtual Testing
From 2026, Euro NCAP will accept virtual testing as part of the ADAS assessment, building on existing acceptance for passive safety and some active safety scenarios.
In the 2026 protocol updates, the number of scenarios has increased by approximately 186%, with the introduction of the ‘mega grid’, which assesses the robustness of a system and expands parameter coverage. Testing all combinations physically is no longer practical; a representative from the newly accredited Euro NCAP test laboratory - DEKRA, recently concluded that to carry out the entire grid in track testing would take around 6 months with a full-time team to complete.
Virtual testing allows engineers to explore large scenario permutations efficiently. However, Euro NCAP is clear that virtual results will be spot-checked, qualified and verified, with a sample correlated to physical tests. Where virtual testing is not feasible or requires greater empirical validation, alternative methodologies could be adopted that enhance physical testing efficiency while maintaining the repeatability and reproducibility (R&R) and empirical results of traditional track testing.

This table shows Euro NCAP's AEB test requirements for Car-to-Car Rear Braking (CCRb) scenarios. It defines which combinations of vehicle speeds and lateral impact positions must be tested.
Dark grey cells represent standard parameters that require physical testing; light grey cells show extended parameters that can be tested virtually or through alternative methods.
Source: Euro NCAP Crash Avoidance Frontal Collisions, Version 1.1, October 2025
VBOX Automotive is investigating indoor testing as an alternative, characterising and quantifying environmental variables that influence results - ranging from radar specular reflections and multipath interference to GNSS outages. This research aims to determine if indoor environments provide the necessary R&R to serve as an alternative to outdoor track testing in Euro NCAP assessments.
It is proposed that indoor testing can achieve a level of operational efficiency and consistency that cannot be achieved with the variability of outdoor testing, while providing a degree of empirical confidence that exceeds purely virtual models.
Conclusion
Euro NCAP testing has come a long way since its inception in 1996 and while there are always new technologies being developed and corresponding protocols being created, there is a clear shift in the new roadmap towards the effectiveness and accessibility of existing ADAS and the ways in which testing will be conducted.
VBOX Automotive will continue to closely track these changes and work closely with our laboratory customers to ensure its measurement hardware and software evolve to meet the needs of modern automotive testing. From total testing solutions for Euro NCAP protocols, such as Driver Status Monitoring (DSM), to indoor testing solutions to drive test efficiencies, VBOX Automotive is committed to supporting test engineers who turn the safety ambitions of consumer groups into reality.

